Порівняння методів
Переглядайте обрані методи поруч; рядки з відмінностями підсвічено.
| Системна динаміка для аналізу політичних сценаріїв× | Системна динаміка× | |
|---|---|---|
| Галузь | Імітаційне моделювання | Імітаційне моделювання |
| Родина | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Рік появи≠ | 1960s–1990s | 1961 |
| Автор методу≠ | Forrester, J. W. (system dynamics); scenario integration formalized by Sterman and others | Jay W. Forrester |
| Тип≠ | Simulation-based policy analysis | Continuous simulation / feedback modelling |
| Основоположне джерело≠ | Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 9780072389159 | Sterman, J.D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0072389159 |
| Інші назви | PSSD, Policy SD Simulation, Scenario-Based System Dynamics, Policy Systems Modeling | stock-flow modelling, Sistem Dinamiği (Stock-Flow Modelleme), SD modelling, feedback simulation |
| Пов'язані≠ | 5 | 3 |
| Підсумок≠ | Policy Scenario System Dynamics combines system dynamics modeling with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how different policy interventions affect complex, feedback-driven systems over time. By running multiple policy scenarios through a calibrated stock-and-flow model, analysts can compare long-run outcomes, identify leverage points, and anticipate unintended consequences before real-world implementation. | System dynamics is a continuous simulation method, developed by Jay W. Forrester at MIT in 1961, that represents a complex system through stocks (accumulations), flows (rates of change), and feedback loops. By expressing these relationships as coupled ordinary differential equations, it reproduces how policies, delays, and nonlinear feedbacks drive system behaviour over time — making it a cornerstone tool in policy analysis, organisational modelling, and sustainability research. |
| ScholarGateНабір даних ↗ |
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