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Own-Children Method×Hayat Tablosu Analizi×
AlanDemografiDemografi
AileProcess / pipelineSurvival analysis
Köken yılı19861984
KökenLee-Jay Cho, Robert D. Retherford & Minja Kim ChoeDemographic/actuarial tradition; Chiang
TürIndirect reverse-survival estimation of age-specific fertility from census microdataAge-structured mortality estimator
Seminal kaynakPreston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512Chiang, C. L. (1984). The Life Table and Its Applications. Robert E. Krieger Publishing. ISBN: 978-0-89874-565-2
Diğer adlarOCM, Own-children fertility estimation, Reverse-survival fertility estimation from matched children, Kendi Çocukları YöntemiMortality Table, Actuarial Table, Survival Table, Yaşam Tablosu
İlişkili43
ÖzetThe own-children method is an indirect technique for estimating age-specific fertility rates for the years preceding a census or survey, using only a single cross-sectional dataset in which children can be linked to their mothers within the same household. By reverse-surviving matched mother-child pairs back through time, it reconstructs annual birth rates and total fertility for roughly the previous 15 years without requiring any vital-registration data on births.A life table is a systematic, age-structured summary of the mortality experience of a population. It traces a hypothetical cohort of births — conventionally 100,000 — through successive age intervals, recording how many survive, how many die, and how many person-years are lived at each interval. The method was formalized in its modern probabilistic form by Chiang (1984), synthesizing centuries of actuarial and demographic practice into a rigorous statistical framework applicable to human and biological populations alike.
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