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Bayesiansk EGARCH-modell×Bayesiansk GARCH-modell×
ÄmnesområdeEkonometriEkonometri
FamiljRegression modelRegression model
Ursprungsår1991 (EGARCH); 2000s (Bayesian estimation)1989–2000
UpphovspersonNelson (1991) for EGARCH; Bayesian inference via MCMC developed from early 2000sGeweke (1989); further developed by Nakatsuma (2000) and Bauwens & Lubrano (1998)
TypVolatility model with Bayesian inferenceBayesian volatility model
UrsprungskällaNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Geweke, J. (1989). Exact predictive densities for linear models with ARCH disturbances. Journal of Econometrics, 40(1), 63–86. DOI ↗
AliasBayesian EGARCH model, Bayesian Exponential GARCH, EGARCH with Bayesian estimation, B-EGARCHBayesian GARCH, BGARCH, GARCH with Bayesian inference, Bayesian volatility model
Närliggande64
SammanfattningThe Bayesian EGARCH model combines Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH specification — which models the log of conditional variance and captures the leverage effect — with Bayesian posterior inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). This allows full uncertainty quantification of all volatility parameters, including the asymmetry coefficient, without requiring large-sample normality of the estimates.The Bayesian GARCH model combines the GARCH framework for time-varying volatility with Bayesian posterior inference. Instead of maximising a likelihood, it specifies prior distributions for the GARCH parameters and draws from the resulting posterior — typically via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) — to quantify both point estimates and full uncertainty about volatility dynamics.
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ScholarGateJämför metoder: Bayesian EGARCH · Bayesian GARCH model. Hämtad 2026-06-17 från https://scholargate.app/sv/compare