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Krahasoni metodat

Shqyrtoni metodat e zgjedhura krah për krah; rreshtat që ndryshojnë janë të theksuar.

Sistemi Dinamik i Skenarëve të Politikave×Analiza e Skenarëve të Politikave×
FushaSimulimiSimulimi
FamiljaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Viti i origjinës1960s–1990s1967–1990s
KrijuesiForrester, J. W. (system dynamics); scenario integration formalized by Sterman and othersKahn, H. & Wiener, A. J. (seminal); adapted for policy by RAND Corporation and OECD
LlojiSimulation-based policy analysisQualitative-quantitative hybrid scenario method
Burimi themeluesSterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 9780072389159Swart, R., Raskin, P., Robinson, J. (2004). The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 137–146. DOI ↗
Emërtime të tjeraPSSD, Policy SD Simulation, Scenario-Based System Dynamics, Policy Systems ModelingPSA, Policy Scenarios, Policy Impact Scenario Analysis, Counterfactual Policy Analysis
Të lidhura55
PërmbledhjaPolicy Scenario System Dynamics combines system dynamics modeling with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how different policy interventions affect complex, feedback-driven systems over time. By running multiple policy scenarios through a calibrated stock-and-flow model, analysts can compare long-run outcomes, identify leverage points, and anticipate unintended consequences before real-world implementation.Policy Scenario Analysis is a structured method for evaluating how different policy interventions perform across a range of plausible future states. By pairing specific policy levers with alternative scenarios, analysts can assess robustness, trade-offs, and unintended consequences of policy choices before implementation — making it a cornerstone of evidence-based policy design in fields from climate to public health.
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ScholarGateKrahasoni metodat: Policy Scenario System Dynamics · Policy Scenario Analysis. Marrë më 2026-06-19 nga https://scholargate.app/sq/compare