Krahasoni metodat

	Testi PT i Saktësisë Parashikuese Drejtuese i Pesaran-Timmermann	Testi Diebold-Mariano i Saktësisë Parashikuese të Barabartë
Fusha	Ekonometri	Ekonometri
Familja	Hypothesis test	Hypothesis test
Viti i origjinës	1992	1995
Krijuesi	M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann	Francis Diebold & Roberto Mariano
Lloji	Nonparametric one-sided test	Non-parametric forecast comparison test
Burimi themelues	Pesaran, M. H., & Timmermann, A. (1992). A simple nonparametric test of predictive performance. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(4), 461–465.	Diebold, F. X., & Mariano, R. S. (1995). Comparing predictive accuracy. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 13(3), 253–263.
Emërtime të tjera	PT Test, Directional Accuracy Test, Nonparametric Predictive Performance Test, Pesaran-Timmermann Yön Testi	DM Test, Test of Equal Forecast Accuracy, Diebold-Mariano Forecast Comparison Test, Tahmin Doğruluğu Eşitliği Testi
Të lidhura	3	3
Përmbledhja	Introduced by Pesaran and Timmermann (1992), the PT test is a nonparametric procedure that evaluates whether a forecasting model correctly predicts the direction (sign) of a target variable more often than would be expected by chance. It is widely used in financial econometrics and macroeconomic forecasting to assess the practical utility of a model beyond simple error metrics, particularly when the economic cost of getting the direction wrong is high.	The Diebold-Mariano (DM) test, introduced by Diebold and Mariano in 1995, is a widely used non-parametric procedure for formally comparing the predictive accuracy of two competing forecasting models. It evaluates whether the difference in forecast errors between two models is statistically significant, without requiring nested models or specific distributional assumptions about the forecasts, making it broadly applicable across economics, finance, and time-series analysis.