Krahasoni metodat

	Seritë Kohore të Ndërprera në Kërkimin Arsimor	Metoda e Kontrollit Sintetik (SCM)
Fusha	Inferenca kauzale	Inferenca kauzale
Familja	Regression model	Regression model
Viti i origjinës	1979-2002	2003–2010
Krijuesi	Shadish, Cook & Campbell (quasi-experimental design); Wagner et al. (segmented regression formalization)	Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal (2003); Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010)
Lloji	Quasi-experimental causal inference	Quasi-experimental causal inference
Burimi themelues	Shadish, W. R., Cook, T. D., & Campbell, D. T. (2002). Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designs for Generalized Causal Inference. Houghton Mifflin. ISBN: 978-0395615560	Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505.
Emërtime të tjera	ITS in education, educational ITS, segmented regression in education, policy interrupted time series	SCM, synthetic control, synth estimator, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method
Të lidhura	4	4
Përmbledhja	Interrupted time series (ITS) analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the causal effect of an education policy or intervention by examining whether an outcome trend changes abruptly at the point of implementation. Applied to education, it is used to evaluate reforms, curriculum changes, testing policies, and school interventions using routinely collected longitudinal data without a randomised control group.	The Synthetic Control Method estimates the causal effect of a treatment or policy on a single treated unit by constructing a weighted combination of untreated units — the synthetic control — that closely resembles the treated unit before the intervention. The gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart after the intervention is the estimated treatment effect.