Krahasoni metodat

	Granger Causality	Testet kufizash ARDL (Testet kufizash të autoregresionit me vonesë)
Fusha	Ekonometri	Ekonometri
Familja	Regression model	Regression model
Viti i origjinës	1969	2001
Krijuesi	Clive W. J. Granger	Pesaran, Shin & Smith
Lloji	Time-series predictive causality test	Cointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model
Burimi themelues	Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438.	Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326.
Emërtime të tjera	Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi	Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)
Të lidhura	5	4
Përmbledhja	The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.	The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.