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Krahasoni metodat

Shqyrtoni metodat e zgjedhura krah për krah; rreshtat që ndryshojnë janë të theksuar.

Testi Giacomini-White për aftësi të përgjithshme parashikuese×Vlerësimi i Kryqëzuar i Serive Kohore (Dritare Rrotulluese/Zgjeruese)×
FushaEkonometriEkonometri
FamiljaHypothesis testProcess / pipeline
Viti i origjinës20062012
KrijuesiRaffaella Giacomini & Halbert WhiteChristoph Bergmeir & José Benítez
LlojiNon-nested forecast comparison testForecast evaluation procedure
Burimi themeluesGiacomini, R., & White, H. (2006). Tests of conditional predictive ability. Econometrica, 74(6), 1545–1578. DOI ↗Bergmeir, C., & Benítez, J. M. (2012). On the use of cross-validation for time series predictor evaluation. Information Sciences, 191, 192–213. DOI ↗
Emërtime të tjeraGW Test, Conditional Predictive Ability Test, Giacomini-White CPA Test, Koşullu Tahmin Yeteneği TestiRolling-Origin Cross-Validation, Walk-Forward Validation, Expanding Window Evaluation, Zaman Serisi Çapraz Doğrulama
Të lidhura33
PërmbledhjaThe Giacomini-White (GW) test, introduced by Raffaella Giacomini and Halbert White in 2006, evaluates whether two competing forecasting methods have equal conditional predictive ability given information available at the time of forecast. Unlike unconditional tests such as the Diebold-Mariano test, it asks whether one method systematically outperforms the other in specific economic or market conditions, making it especially useful for practitioners who need state-dependent forecast comparisons.Time-series cross-validation is a resampling procedure designed for sequentially ordered data. Instead of randomly partitioning observations — which would destroy temporal structure and introduce data leakage — it advances a forecast origin one step at a time, fitting a model on all past data up to that origin and evaluating it on the immediately following out-of-sample period. Economists, financial analysts, and meteorologists use it whenever an honest, operationally realistic estimate of predictive accuracy is required for a time-ordered process.
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ScholarGateKrahasoni metodat: Giacomini-White Test · Time-Series Cross-Validation. Marrë më 2026-06-18 nga https://scholargate.app/sq/compare