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Time series MCMC

Time series MCMC applies Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to Bayesian inference over time-ordered data. Rather than optimising a single parameter estimate, it draws samples from the full joint posterior of parameters and latent states, yielding probability distributions that honestly reflect uncertainty about dynamics, trends, and seasonal patterns across every time point.

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Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Time Series Models

Taxonomický záznam metódy · bayesian / bayesian

Carter, C. K. & Kohn, R. (1994). On Gibbs sampling for state space models. Biometrika, 81(3), 541–553. · DOI 10.1093/biomet/81.3.541
West, M. & Harrison, J. (1997). Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models (2nd ed.). Springer. · ISBN 978-0387947259

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Taxonomic bucketDynamic Bayesian Inferencemachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Taxonomic bucketGibbs Samplingmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyHamiltonian Monte Carlomachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Taxonomic bucketKalman Filtermachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyParticle Filtermachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Taxonomic bucketSequential Monte Carlomachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.