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Spatial Conflict Analysis×Conflict Diffusion Analysis×
ОбластьInternational RelationsInternational Relations
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Год появления20022008
Автор методаSpatial-analysis-of-conflict literature (e.g., Michael Ward & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch)Conflict-diffusion literature (e.g., Most & Starr; Halvard Buhaug & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch)
ТипSpatial regression / spatial-statistical modeling of conflictSpatial-temporal analysis of conflict contagion
Основополагающий источникWard, M. D., & Gleditsch, K. S. (2002). Location, location, location: An MCMC approach to modeling the spatial context of war and peace. Political Analysis, 10(3), 244–260. DOI ↗Buhaug, H., & Gleditsch, K. S. (2008). Contagion or confusion? Why conflicts cluster in space. International Studies Quarterly, 52(2), 215–233. DOI ↗
Другие названияSpatial Analysis of War and Peace, Geographic Conflict Modeling, Spatial Econometrics of Conflict, Georeferenced Conflict AnalysisConflict Contagion Analysis, Conflict Spillover Analysis, Spatial Diffusion of War, Conflict Spread Modeling
Связанные33
СводкаSpatial conflict analysis models armed conflict while taking geography seriously: conflict is not randomly scattered but clusters in space, and a place's risk depends on its neighbors. Building on georeferenced data and spatial-statistical methods — as in Ward and Gleditsch's (2002) MCMC approach to the spatial context of war and peace — it uses spatial weights, tests for spatial autocorrelation, and fits spatial regression models so that conflict, peace, and their predictors are analyzed as interdependent across locations rather than as isolated observations.Conflict diffusion analysis studies how conflict spreads from one place to another — across borders, between neighboring regions, over time. It addresses a sharp inferential challenge posed by Buhaug and Gleditsch (2008): conflicts cluster in space, but clustering can reflect either genuine contagion (a war next door actually raises your risk) or merely the fact that neighbors share war-prone conditions. Using spatial-temporal lags of neighboring conflict alongside covariates, and theorizing concrete transmission mechanisms such as refugee flows and transnational ethnic ties, the method tries to separate true diffusion from spurious co-location.
ScholarGateНабор данных
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  2. 1 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Spatial Conflict Analysis · Conflict Diffusion Analysis. Получено 2026-06-24 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare