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Вероятностный анализ сейсмической опасности (PSHA)×Метод Монте-Карло×
ОбластьГражданское строительствоПринятие решений
СемействоProcess / pipelineMCDM
Год появления19681949
Автор методаC. Allin CornellMetropolis, N., Ulam, S.
ТипQuantitative probabilistic frameworkRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
Основополагающий источникCornell, C. A. (1968). Engineering seismic risk analysis. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 58(5), 1583–1606. link ↗Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
Другие названияPSHA, seismic hazard analysis, probabilistic earthquake hazard assessment, Cornell-McGuire method
Связанные10
СводкаProbabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) is a quantitative engineering framework used in civil and geotechnical engineering to estimate the likelihood that ground shaking will exceed a specified intensity level at a site within a given time window. By combining earthquake source geometry, recurrence statistics, and ground-motion attenuation models, PSHA produces hazard curves and maps that inform seismic design codes, infrastructure planning, and risk management decisions.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. Получено 2026-06-18 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare