Сравнение методов

	PatchTST	TimesFM: Модель-фундамент только с декодером для прогнозирования временных рядов
Область	Глубокое обучение	Глубокое обучение
Семейство	Machine learning	Machine learning
Год появления	2023	2024
Автор метода	Nie, Y. et al.	Abhimanyu Das et al. (Google)
Тип	Transformer for time series forecasting	Pre-trained decoder-only transformer for zero-shot time-series forecasting
Основополагающий источник	Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR.	Das, A., Kong, W., Sen, R., & Zhou, Y. (2024). A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting. ICML.
Другие названия	PatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformer	Time-series Foundation Model, Google TimesFM, TimesFM forecaster, Zaman Serisi Temel Modeli
Связанные	3	3
Сводка	PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.	TimesFM is a pre-trained foundation model for univariate time-series forecasting introduced by Abhimanyu Das, Weihao Kong, Rajat Sen, and Yichen Zhou from Google in 2024. The model adopts a decoder-only transformer architecture, similar in spirit to large language models, and is trained on a large corpus of real-world and synthetic time-series data. Its central innovation is the ability to perform accurate zero-shot forecasting across diverse domains without task-specific fine-tuning.