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Микросимуляция×Имитационное моделирование дискретных событий (DES)×
ОбластьИмитационное моделированиеИмитационное моделирование
СемействоProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Год появления19571960s (formalized); modern computational form from 1970s onward
Автор методаGuy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projectsBanks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol (textbook lineage); foundational work by Tocher & Conway (1960s)
ТипPolicy simulation / computational social scienceStochastic process simulation
Основополагающий источникO'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗Banks, J., Carson, J.S., Nelson, B.L. & Nicol, D.M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Pearson. ISBN: 978-0136062127
Другие названияMikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulationDES, event-driven simulation, Ayrık Olay Simülasyonu (DES)
Связанные54
СводкаMicrosimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation.Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) is a computational modeling paradigm in which the state of a system changes only at a countable sequence of points in time — the events. Between events nothing changes, so the simulation clock jumps directly from one event to the next. Formalized through the foundational textbooks of Banks, Carson, Nelson and Nicol and of Law in the 1960s–2000s, DES has become the standard tool for analyzing queuing systems, healthcare patient flows, manufacturing lines, and logistics networks where entities move through resources over time.
ScholarGateНабор данных
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  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
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  2. 2 Источники
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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Microsimulation · Discrete-Event Simulation. Получено 2026-06-15 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare