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Intervening Opportunities Model×Gravity Model of Migration×
ОбластьMigration StudiesHuman Geography
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Год появления19401946
Автор методаSamuel A. StoufferGeorge Kingsley Zipf (formalized); analogy to Newton's law of gravitation
ТипSpatial-interaction model of migration volumeSpatial-interaction regression model for migration flows
Основополагающий источникStouffer, S. A. (1940). Intervening Opportunities: A Theory Relating Mobility and Distance. American Sociological Review, 5(6), 845-867. DOI ↗Zipf, G. K. (1946). The P1 P2 / D hypothesis: On the intercity movement of persons. American Sociological Review, 11(6), 677–686. DOI ↗
Другие названияStouffer Intervening Opportunities, Opportunity-Based Migration Model, Law of Intervening OpportunitiesMigration Gravity Model, Demographic Gravity Model, Zipf P1P2/D Model, Gravity Model of Spatial Interaction (Migration)
Связанные34
СводкаThe intervening opportunities model, introduced by Samuel Stouffer in 1940, explains the volume of migration between two places not by the physical distance separating them but by the number of opportunities available at the destination relative to the opportunities a migrant would encounter along the way. Its central claim is provocative: there is no necessary relationship between mobility and distance. Distance only matters because crossing more of it usually means passing more chances to stop. Formally, the number of people moving a given distance is directly proportional to the number of opportunities at that distance and inversely proportional to the number of intervening opportunities. Stouffer revised the model in 1960 to add 'competing migrants' — rivals converging on the same destination from other origins — giving spatial-interaction analysis an alternative to the gravity model that is grounded in opportunity structure rather than mass and distance.The gravity model of migration explains the volume of movement between two places as proportional to the product of their populations (masses) and inversely proportional to the distance separating them, by direct analogy to Newton's law of universal gravitation. Formalized for intercity movement by George Kingsley Zipf in 1946 and embedded in regional science by Walter Isard, it is the workhorse model of human geography for predicting migration, commuting, and other spatial-interaction flows.
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  2. 2 Источники
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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Intervening Opportunities Model · Gravity Model of Migration. Получено 2026-06-25 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare