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Foresight Scenario Method×Patent Analysis×
ОбластьScience Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
СемействоProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Год появления19951994
Автор методаPaul Schoemaker, drawing on Herman Kahn and the Shell/intuitive-logics traditionFrancis Narin (patent bibliometrics) and the patent-analytics community
ТипStructured future-construction processDocument-based technological-intelligence process
Основополагающий источникSchoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. link ↗Narin, F. (1994). Patent bibliometrics. Scientometrics, 30(1), 147-155. DOI ↗
Другие названияScenario planning, Intuitive-logics scenarios, Scenario buildingPatent analytics, Patent bibliometrics, Patent landscaping
Связанные44
СводкаThe scenario method constructs a small set of internally consistent, plausible stories about how the future might unfold, built from the key driving forces and critical uncertainties facing a decision. Rather than forecasting one expected future, it deliberately develops several contrasting futures so that strategies can be tested against a range of possibilities and decision-makers can rehearse responses to what might otherwise be surprises.Patent analysis, or patanalytics, mines the documents and metadata in patent databases to generate technological intelligence. Because patents are structured, dated, classified, and citation-linked records of inventive activity, analysing patent counts, citations, classification codes, applicants, and text reveals who is innovating where, in which technologies, how fields connect, and how the technological landscape is shifting—evidence that feeds competitive intelligence, R&D strategy, and foresight.
ScholarGateНабор данных
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  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Foresight Scenario Method · Patent Analysis. Получено 2026-06-25 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare