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Анализ Circuitscape×Нишевое моделирование×Анализ жизнеспособности популяций×
ОбластьЭкологияЭкологияЭкология
СемействоProcess / pipelineProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Год появления200819991981
Автор методаBrad McRaeSteven Phillips and David StockwellMark Shaffer
Типmovement and connectivity modelingspecies distribution predictionextinction risk assessment
Основополагающий источникBradford, D. F., McCreary, D. D., & Groves, C. R. (2014). Optimizing sampling for large-area habitat assessment. Ecological Monographs, 84(3), 351-375. link ↗Phillips, S. J., Anderson, R. P., & Schapire, R. E. (2006). Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling, 190(3-4), 231-259. DOI ↗Shaffer, M. L. (1981). Minimum population sizes for species conservation. BioScience, 31(2), 131-134. DOI ↗
Другие названияcircuit theory, resistance distance, connectivity analysis, landscape conductancespecies distribution modeling, habitat suitability modeling, ecological niche model, MaxEntPVA, extinction risk, minimum viable population, MVP
Связанные444
СводкаCircuitscape, developed by Brad McRae (2008), applies circuit theory from electrical engineering to predict organism movement and genetic connectivity across landscapes. The method treats landscapes as electrical networks where habitat quality is resistance and organism movement is electrical current. By analogy, organisms diffusing through a landscape follow paths determined by landscape resistance: corridors of low resistance (good habitat) are preferentially used. Circuitscape predicts movement probabilities, identifies critical corridors, and quantifies connectivity between habitat patches.Niche modeling, also called species distribution modeling (SDM), predicts the geographic range and habitat suitability of species using presence-only or presence-background occurrence data and environmental variables. MaxEnt (Maximum Entropy, Phillips et al. 2006) and GARP (Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Prediction, Stockwell & Peters 1999) are two prominent algorithms. These methods identify the environmental conditions under which species are likely to occur, enabling prediction of distribution beyond sampled areas and assessment of habitat suitability across landscapes.Population Viability Analysis (PVA), introduced by Shaffer (1981), estimates the probability that a population will persist over a given time period under specified conditions. PVA combines demographic models (Leslie matrices, IPMs) with stochastic simulation to project population trajectories, quantifying extinction risk. This allows conservation planners to assess whether a population will likely persist, evaluate management scenarios, and estimate the minimum viable population (MVP) size for long-term persistence. PVA is a decision-support tool, not a precise predictor.
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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Circuitscape · Niche Modeling · Population Viability Analysis. Получено 2026-06-20 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare