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Байесовская векторная авторегрессия (BVAR)×Пороговая и плавнопереходная векторная авторегрессия (TVAR / STVAR)×
ОбластьЭконометрикаЭконометрика
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Год появления19861998
Автор методаLitterman (1986); Bańbura, Giannone & Reichlin (2010)Tsay (multivariate threshold modelling)
ТипBayesian multivariate time-series modelNonlinear multivariate time-series model
Основополагающий источникLitterman, R. B. (1986). Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 4(1), 25-38. DOI ↗Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI ↗
Другие названияBVAR, Bayesian vector autoregression, Minnesota prior VAR, Bayesian VAR (BVAR)TVAR, STVAR, regime-switching VAR, threshold VAR
Связанные55
СводкаBayesian VAR adds Minnesota or other prior distributions to a vector autoregressive model to control over-parameterisation. Introduced by Litterman (1986) and extended to high dimensions by Bańbura, Giannone and Reichlin (2010), it outperforms classical VAR on short series and high-dimensional macroeconomic forecasts.Threshold VAR and Smooth-Transition VAR are nonlinear multivariate time-series models in which the coefficients of a vector autoregression switch between regimes according to a threshold variable. Building on Tsay's 1998 treatment of multivariate threshold models, they capture different dynamic structures across phases such as the business cycle, financial crises, or policy differences.
ScholarGateНабор данных
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Bayesian VAR · Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR. Получено 2026-06-17 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare