ScholarGate
Asystent

Porównaj metody

Przeglądaj wybrane metody obok siebie; wiersze, które się różnią, są wyróżnione.

Technology Foresight×Foresight Scenario Method×
DziedzinaScience Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
RodzinaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Rok powstania19951995
TwórcaBen R. Martin, Irene Miles, and the UK/Japanese foresight programmesPaul Schoemaker, drawing on Herman Kahn and the Shell/intuitive-logics tradition
TypParticipatory future-oriented strategic processStructured future-construction process
Źródło pierwotneMartin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 7(2), 139-168. DOI ↗Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. link ↗
Inne nazwyForesight studies, Strategic technology forecasting, Future-oriented technology analysisScenario planning, Intuitive-logics scenarios, Scenario building
Pokrewne44
PodsumowanieTechnology foresight is a systematic, participatory process of looking into the longer-term future of science, technology, the economy, and society in order to identify the areas of strategic research and the emerging generic technologies likely to yield the greatest economic and social benefits. Rather than predicting a single future, it brings experts and stakeholders together to explore plausible futures, build shared visions, and translate them into present-day priorities and action.The scenario method constructs a small set of internally consistent, plausible stories about how the future might unfold, built from the key driving forces and critical uncertainties facing a decision. Rather than forecasting one expected future, it deliberately develops several contrasting futures so that strategies can be tested against a range of possibilities and decision-makers can rehearse responses to what might otherwise be surprises.
ScholarGateZbiór danych
  1. v1
  2. 2 Źródła
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Źródła
  3. PUBLISHED

Przejdź do wyszukiwania Pobierz slajdy

ScholarGatePorównaj metody: Technology Foresight · Foresight Scenario Method. Pobrano 2026-06-24 z https://scholargate.app/pl/compare