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| Storm Surge Modeling× | Probabilistyczna Analiza Zagrożenia Sejsmicznego (PSHA)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Dziedzina≠ | Disaster Studies | Inżynieria lądowa |
| Rodzina | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Rok powstania≠ | 1992 | 1968 |
| Twórca≠ | Chester Jelesnianski and colleagues (SLOSH); Joannes Westerink & Richard Luettich (ADCIRC) | C. Allin Cornell |
| Typ≠ | Hydrodynamic shallow-water simulation pipeline forced by tropical-cyclone winds | Quantitative probabilistic framework |
| Źródło pierwotne≠ | Westerink, J. J., Luettich, R. A., Feyen, J. C., Atkinson, J. H., Dawson, C., Roberts, H. J., Powell, M. D., Dunion, J. P., Kubatko, E. J., & Pourtaheri, H. (2008). A Basin- to Channel-Scale Unstructured Grid Hurricane Storm Surge Model Applied to Southern Louisiana. Monthly Weather Review, 136(3), 833-864. DOI ↗ | Cornell, C. A. (1968). Engineering seismic risk analysis. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 58(5), 1583–1606. link ↗ |
| Inne nazwy | Hurricane Storm Surge Simulation, Coastal Surge Modeling, Surge Hindcast and Forecast Modeling, Hydrodynamic Surge Inundation Modeling | PSHA, seismic hazard analysis, probabilistic earthquake hazard assessment, Cornell-McGuire method |
| Pokrewne≠ | 3 | 1 |
| Podsumowanie≠ | Storm surge modeling simulates the abnormal rise of coastal water driven by a storm — principally the wind stress and low atmospheric pressure of a hurricane or extratropical cyclone — by solving the depth-integrated shallow-water equations of coastal hydrodynamics. The surge is the difference between the storm-driven water level and the normal astronomical tide, and it is the deadliest hazard of most landfalling hurricanes, capable of flooding low-lying coasts kilometers inland. The operational tradition began with Jelesnianski and colleagues' SLOSH model, documented in the 1992 NOAA technical report, which the National Weather Service still uses for real-time forecasting and evacuation planning. High-resolution research and design work increasingly uses the unstructured-grid ADCIRC model, whose application to southern Louisiana by Westerink, Luettich, and colleagues in 2008 set the standard for basin-to-channel-scale surge simulation. The defining challenges are representing the hurricane wind field accurately and resolving the complex coastal geometry — channels, marshes, and levees — that steers the water. The output is a time-evolving map of water level and overland inundation. | Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) is a quantitative engineering framework used in civil and geotechnical engineering to estimate the likelihood that ground shaking will exceed a specified intensity level at a site within a given time window. By combining earthquake source geometry, recurrence statistics, and ground-motion attenuation models, PSHA produces hazard curves and maps that inform seismic design codes, infrastructure planning, and risk management decisions. |
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