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Estymacja dla małych obszarów (Model Fay-Herriot)×Próba warstwowa×
DziedzinaMetodologia badań sondażowychMetodologia badań sondażowych
RodzinaRegression modelProcess / pipeline
Rok powstania19791977
TwórcaRobert Fay & Roger HerriotWilliam G. Cochran
TypModel-based survey estimatorProbability-based survey sampling design
Źródło pierwotneFay, R. E., & Herriot, R. A. (1979). Estimates of income for small places: An application of James-Stein procedures to census data. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366), 269–277. DOI ↗Cochran, W. G. (1977). Sampling Techniques (3rd ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-0-471-16240-7
Inne nazwySAE, Model-Based Small Area Estimation, Area-Level Model, Küçük Alan TahminiProportional Stratified Sampling, Optimal Allocation Sampling, Stratum-Based Sampling, Tabakalı Örnekleme
Pokrewne22
PodsumowanieSmall Area Estimation (SAE) refers to statistical techniques that produce reliable estimates for subpopulations — geographical regions, demographic groups, or administrative units — where direct survey samples are too sparse to yield acceptable precision. The Fay-Herriot model, introduced by Robert Fay and Roger Herriot in 1979, is the canonical area-level SAE model. It supplements weak direct survey estimates with auxiliary covariate information through an empirical Bayes or BLUP framework, substantially reducing mean squared error for small domains.Stratified sampling is a probability sampling design in which the target population is partitioned into non-overlapping, exhaustive subgroups called strata, and independent probability samples are drawn within each stratum. Formalized by William G. Cochran in Sampling Techniques (1977), the method exploits known population structure to reduce variance and guarantee representativeness of all major subgroups, making it a cornerstone of large-scale survey research and official statistics.
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