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Modele migracji (wypychające-przyciągające / wieloregionalne)×Projekcja kohortowo-komponentowa×Model promieniowania mobilności i migracji×
DziedzinaDemografiaDemografiaAnaliza przestrzenna
RodzinaRegression modelProcess / pipelineRegression model
Rok powstania196620012012
TwórcaEverett LeePreston, Heuveline & GuillotFilippo Simini et al.
TypTheoretical-quantitative migration frameworkDemographic projection pipelineParameter-free spatial interaction model
Źródło pierwotneLee, E. S. (1966). A theory of migration. Demography, 3(1), 47–57. DOI ↗Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 978-1-557-86451-2Simini, F., González, M. C., Maritan, A., & Barabási, A.-L. (2012). A universal model for mobility and migration patterns. Nature, 484, 96–100. DOI ↗
Inne nazwyPush-Pull Migration Theory, Multiregional Migration Model, Lee Migration Framework, Göç ModelleriCohort-Component Method, Component Method of Population Projection, Age-Sex-Specific Population Projection, Kohort-Bileşen ProjeksiyonuRadiation Law of Human Mobility, Parameter-free Mobility Model, Simini Radiation Model, Radyasyon Modeli
Pokrewne333
PodsumowanieMigration models are quantitative frameworks for explaining and forecasting population movement between geographic units. Lee's (1966) push-pull theory classifies factors at origin and destination into positive and negative forces, modulated by intervening obstacles. Widely used by demographers, regional planners, and policy researchers to project labor mobility, refugee flows, and urbanization trends across national and subnational geographies.Cohort-Component Projection is the standard demographic method for forecasting future population size and age-sex structure by explicitly tracking births, deaths, and migration for each age-sex cohort across discrete time steps. Systematically formalized in the textbook literature by Preston, Heuveline, and Guillot (2001), the method builds on foundational actuarial and demographic work dating to the early twentieth century and remains the workhorse technique used by national statistical offices and international organizations worldwide.The Radiation Model, introduced by Simini et al. in 2012, is a parameter-free model for predicting human mobility and migration flows between geographic locations. Drawing an analogy from radiation physics, it predicts trip volumes based solely on population sizes at origin and destination, and the intervening population within the circle connecting them. It has been widely applied to commuting flows, migration, and epidemic spreading.
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ScholarGatePorównaj metody: Migration Models · Cohort-Component Projection · Radiation Model. Pobrano 2026-06-18 z https://scholargate.app/pl/compare