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Multi-objective Scenario Analysis×Stochastische Scenarioanalyse×
VakgebiedSimulatieSimulatie
FamilieProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Jaar van ontstaan2013 (integrated framework); scenario analysis roots: 19671955–1980s
GrondleggerStewart, French & Rios (integration formalized); scenario analysis roots: Kahn & Wiener (1967)Dantzig, G. B.; Birge, J. R.; and others in stochastic programming tradition
TypeStructured qualitative-quantitative hybridProbabilistic scenario enumeration and evaluation
Oorspronkelijke bronStewart, T. J., French, S., & Rios, J. (2013). Integrating multicriteria decision analysis and scenario planning: Review and extension. Omega, 41(4), 679-688. DOI ↗Birge, J. R., Louveaux, F. (2011). Introduction to Stochastic Programming (2nd ed.). Springer. ISBN: 9781461402374
AliassenMOSA, Multi-criteria scenario analysis, Multi-objective futures analysis, MO-scenario analysisProbabilistic Scenario Analysis, SSA, Stochastic What-If Analysis, Monte Carlo Scenario Analysis
Verwant44
SamenvattingMulti-objective Scenario Analysis (MOSA) is a structured method that constructs a set of plausible future scenarios and evaluates each scenario against multiple competing objectives or criteria. By making trade-offs explicit across objectives and across possible futures, it supports strategic decisions where uncertainty about the future and conflicts between goals co-exist. It is widely applied in energy planning, climate adaptation, public policy, and corporate strategy.Stochastic Scenario Analysis evaluates a system or decision across multiple explicitly defined scenarios, each assigned a probability of occurrence. Unlike deterministic scenario analysis, it propagates uncertainty through probability distributions and computes expected outcomes, variance, and risk metrics across the scenario space, giving decision-makers a structured view of what could happen and how likely each outcome is.
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  1. v1
  2. 2 Bronnen
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateMethoden vergelijken: Multi-objective Scenario Analysis · Stochastic Scenario Analysis. Geraadpleegd op 2026-06-18 via https://scholargate.app/nl/compare