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Pelarasan Musiman X-13ARIMA-SEATS×Dekomposisi STL: Dekomposisi Musiman-Trend menggunakan Loess×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Tahun asal19981990
PengasasU.S. Census Bureau; Findley et al.Cleveland, Cleveland, McRae & Terpenning
JenisNon-parametric / model-based hybridnonparametric iterative smoother
Sumber perintisFindley, D. F., Monsell, B. C., Bell, W. R., Otto, M. C., & Chen, B.-C. (1998). New capabilities and methods of the X-12-ARIMA seasonal adjustment program. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 16(2), 127–152. DOI ↗Cleveland, R. B., Cleveland, W. S., McRae, J. E., & Terpenning, I. (1990). STL: A seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess. Journal of Official Statistics, 6(1), 3–73. link ↗
AliasX-13ARIMA-SEATS, X-12-ARIMA, Census X-13, Mevsimsel Düzeltme X-13Seasonal-Trend Decomposition using Loess, STL filtering, Loess-based seasonal decomposition, Mevsimsel-Trend Ayrıştırma (STL)
Berkaitan33
RingkasanX-13ARIMA-SEATS is the standard seasonal adjustment program produced by the U.S. Census Bureau, combining RegARIMA pre-adjustment with either the classical X-11 filter or the model-based SEATS signal-extraction algorithm. It is the official tool used by national statistical agencies worldwide — including Eurostat and the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics — to remove recurring calendar and seasonal patterns from monthly or quarterly economic time series such as GDP, employment, and retail sales.STL Decomposition, introduced by Cleveland, Cleveland, McRae, and Terpenning (1990), is a nonparametric procedure that separates a time series into three additive components — trend, seasonal, and remainder — using iterative locally weighted regression (loess). Widely used in economics, meteorology, and data science, it handles time series of any periodicity and is robust to the presence of outliers, making it a highly flexible alternative to classical decomposition methods.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: X-13ARIMA-SEATS · STL Decomposition. Dicapai 2026-06-19 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare