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Model Pekali Boleh Ubah Masa DCC-GARCH×Model Faktor Dinamik×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal2002 (DCC-GARCH); TVP extension 2010s2002
PengasasRobert F. Engle (DCC-GARCH); TVP extension developed in applied finance literatureJames Stock & Mark Watson
JenisMultivariate volatility model with time-varying correlationLatent-factor time-series model
Sumber perintisEngle, R. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (2002). Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(2), 147–162. DOI ↗
AliasTVP-DCC-GARCH, time-varying DCC-GARCH, dynamic conditional correlation GARCH with TVP, TVP dynamic conditional correlation modelDiffusion Index Model, Large-Scale Factor Model, Approximate Factor Model, Dinamik Faktör Modeli
Berkaitan42
RingkasanThe TVP-DCC-GARCH model extends the Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH framework by allowing not only the pairwise correlations but also the underlying model parameters to evolve continuously over time. It captures structural shifts in volatility dynamics and cross-asset dependence, making it essential for financial risk modelling in non-stationary environments.A Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) extracts a small number of latent common factors from a large panel of economic time series and uses those factors to forecast or nowcast a target variable. Formalized for macroeconomic forecasting by James Stock and Mark Watson in their 2002 Journal of Business & Economic Statistics paper, DFMs handle hundreds of indicators simultaneously while avoiding the curse of dimensionality that plagues traditional multivariate models.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Time-varying parameter DCC-GARCH model · Dynamic Factor Model. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare