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MCMC Siri Masa×Sampel Gibbs×
BidangBayesianBayesian
KeluargaBayesian methodsBayesian methods
Tahun asal1994–19971984
PengasasCarter & Kohn; West & HarrisonStuart Geman & Donald Geman
JenisBayesian posterior sampling for time-ordered dataMCMC sampling algorithm
Sumber perintisCarter, C. K. & Kohn, R. (1994). On Gibbs sampling for state space models. Biometrika, 81(3), 541–553. DOI ↗Geman, S. & Geman, D. (1984). Stochastic relaxation, Gibbs distributions, and the Bayesian restoration of images. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence, 6(6), 721-741. DOI ↗
AliasMCMC time series, Bayesian time series MCMC, time series posterior sampling, sequential Bayesian MCMCGibbs sampler, coordinate-wise MCMC, systematic scan Gibbs, blocked Gibbs sampling
Berkaitan65
RingkasanTime series MCMC applies Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to Bayesian inference over time-ordered data. Rather than optimising a single parameter estimate, it draws samples from the full joint posterior of parameters and latent states, yielding probability distributions that honestly reflect uncertainty about dynamics, trends, and seasonal patterns across every time point.Gibbs sampling is a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that approximates a high-dimensional posterior distribution by repeatedly drawing each parameter from its full conditional distribution given all other parameters and the data. Because each draw is exact from a conditional — not a proposal that may be rejected — the sampler is efficient when those conditionals are available in closed form.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Time series MCMC · Gibbs Sampling. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare