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Model ARIMA Teguh×Regresi Kuantil×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1986–19931978
PengasasTsay (1986); Chen & Liu (1993)Koenker & Bassett
JenisRobust time series modelConditional quantile regression
Sumber perintisTsay, R. S. (1986). Time series model specification in the presence of outliers. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81(393), 132–141. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Aliasrobust ARIMA, outlier-resistant ARIMA, robust time series estimation, ARIMA with outlier detectionconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Berkaitan45
RingkasanRobust ARIMA extends the classical ARIMA framework to detect and correct the influence of outliers and structural breaks during estimation. By jointly identifying anomalous observations and re-estimating model parameters, it produces coefficient estimates and forecasts that are far less distorted by isolated shocks or data errors than standard ARIMA.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Robust ARIMA model · Quantile Regression. Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare