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Policy Scenario Cellular Automata×Analisis Skenario Polisi×
BidangSimulasiSimulasi
KeluargaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Tahun asal1979–19971967–1990s
PengasasTobler, W. (CA foundations); Clarke, K.C. et al. (policy/urban CA scenarios)Kahn, H. & Wiener, A. J. (seminal); adapted for policy by RAND Corporation and OECD
JenisGrid-based scenario simulationQualitative-quantitative hybrid scenario method
Sumber perintisClarke, K. C., Hoppen, S., & Gaydos, L. (1997). A self-modifying cellular automaton model of historical urbanization in the San Francisco Bay area. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 24(2), 247–261. DOI ↗Swart, R., Raskin, P., Robinson, J. (2004). The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 137–146. DOI ↗
AliasPSCA, CA Policy Scenario Modeling, Policy-driven CA Simulation, Scenario-based Cellular AutomataPSA, Policy Scenarios, Policy Impact Scenario Analysis, Counterfactual Policy Analysis
Berkaitan55
RingkasanPolicy Scenario Cellular Automata (PSCA) combines cellular automata simulation with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how alternative policy decisions reshape spatially distributed systems over time. Each scenario encodes a different set of transition rules or constraints, and the model iterates to reveal divergent spatial outcomes — enabling direct, visual comparison of policy consequences at the local and system level.Policy Scenario Analysis is a structured method for evaluating how different policy interventions perform across a range of plausible future states. By pairing specific policy levers with alternative scenarios, analysts can assess robustness, trade-offs, and unintended consequences of policy choices before implementation — making it a cornerstone of evidence-based policy design in fields from climate to public health.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Policy Scenario Cellular Automata · Policy Scenario Analysis. Dicapai 2026-06-19 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare