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| Analisis Kesan Kausal Data Panel× | Kaedah Kawalan Sintetik Data Panel× | |
|---|---|---|
| Bidang | Inferens Kausal | Inferens Kausal |
| Keluarga | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tahun asal≠ | 2015 (base method); panel extension mid-2010s | 2010 |
| Pengasas≠ | Brodersen et al. (2015); panel extension by Holtz et al. and subsequent literature | Alberto Abadie, Alexis Diamond & Jens Hainmueller |
| Jenis≠ | Bayesian structural time-series causal inference | Causal inference / panel data |
| Sumber perintis≠ | Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗ | Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | Panel CausalImpact, multi-unit causal impact, panel BSTS causal inference, panel structural time-series causal analysis | SCM panel, panel synthetic control, synthetic control estimator, comparative case study |
| Berkaitan≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Ringkasan≠ | Panel data causal impact analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series approach of Brodersen et al. (2015) to multi-unit panel settings, estimating the counterfactual for several treated units simultaneously using control units as a donor pool. It produces credible intervals for the causal effect at each post-intervention time point, aggregated across units and periods. | The panel data synthetic control method estimates the causal effect of an intervention on a single treated unit by constructing a data-driven weighted combination of untreated units — a synthetic control — that best reproduces the treated unit's pre-treatment outcome trajectory. The post-treatment gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart is the estimated treatment effect. |
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