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| Penilaian Impak Kontrafaktual Berbilang Tempoh× | Penilaian Impak Kaunterfaktual (CIE)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Bidang | Inferens Kausal | Inferens Kausal |
| Keluarga | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tahun asal≠ | 2000s–2010s | 1970s–2000s |
| Pengasas≠ | Developed through EU policy evaluation practice (European Commission); formalized by Lechner, Caliendo, and related econometricians | Heckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literature |
| Jenis≠ | Causal inference / quasi-experimental evaluation | Causal inference / program evaluation |
| Sumber perintis≠ | Caliendo, M., & Kopeinig, S. (2008). Some Practical Guidance for the Implementation of Propensity Score Matching. Journal of Economic Surveys, 22(1), 31-72. DOI ↗ | Heckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | multi-period CIE, longitudinal counterfactual evaluation, dynamic counterfactual impact evaluation, multi-wave CIE | CIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation |
| Berkaitan≠ | 4 | 5 |
| Ringkasan≠ | Multi-period Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (CIE) estimates the causal effect of a policy or program by constructing what would have happened to treated units across multiple time periods had they not been treated. Unlike single-period evaluations, it tracks treatment effects as they evolve over time, capturing dynamic, delayed, or fading impacts that a two-period comparison would miss. | Counterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice. |
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