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Projeksi Tempatan×Panel-VAR Ambang×VAR Faktor-Ditambah Masa-Bervariasi×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal200519962005
PengasasOscar JordaBruce Hansen and colleaguesBernanke, Boivin, and Eliasz
JenisMulti-horizon regressionNonlinear panel modelTime-varying system
Sumber perintisJorda, O. (2005). Estimation and inference of impulse responses by local projections. American Economic Review, 95(1), 161-182. DOI ↗Hansen, B. E. (1996). Inference when a nuisance parameter is not identified under the null hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 12(3), 386-414. DOI ↗Bernanke, B. S., Boivin, J., & Eliasz, P. S. (2005). Measuring monetary policy. Journal of Political Economy, 113(1), 161-208. link ↗
AliasLP-IR, Multi-horizon regressionPanel-VAR with regime switchingDynamic factor model with time-varying parameters
Berkaitan333
RingkasanLocal Projections (LP) is a semi-parametric method for estimating impulse responses directly via multi-horizon regressions, bypassing VAR-model specification. Introduced by Jorda (2005), it projects outcomes h periods ahead onto current shocks and lags, producing impulse-response functions without assuming a particular lag structure or VAR order. This flexibility has made it the dominant approach in applied macroeconomics for measuring policy effects and shock transmission.The Threshold Panel VAR extends the standard vector autoregression framework to accommodate regime-switching behavior where relationships change when a threshold variable crosses a critical level. Introduced by Hansen (1996) and applied to panels by Caner and Hansen (2001), it allows different dynamic relationships across regimes (e.g., expansions versus recessions) while exploiting the cross-sectional dimension of panel data. This nonlinear framework captures state-dependent policy effects and economic mechanisms.TVP-FAVAR is a hybrid framework combining factor-augmented VARs with time-varying parameter estimation via Kalman filtering. Introduced by Bernanke et al. (2005) and refined by Primiceri (2005), it extracts latent economic factors (e.g., a 'common monetary policy shock') from high-dimensional data while allowing VAR coefficients to evolve stochastically over time. This framework captures both reduced-dimensionality patterns and structural instability, making it ideal for studying evolving policy regimes and shock dynamics.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Local Projections · Threshold Panel VAR · TVP-FAVAR. Dicapai 2026-06-19 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare