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Pecahan Varians Ralat Ramalan (FEVD)×Model Regresi Autoruang (VAR)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal20052005
PengasasHelmut LütkepohlLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
JenisMultivariate time series analysis toolMultivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisLütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-40172-8Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
AliasVariance Decomposition, Error Variance Decomposition, VD Analysis, Varyans Ayrıştırmasıvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Berkaitan34
RingkasanForecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) is a multivariate time series technique used within Vector Autoregression (VAR) frameworks to quantify what proportion of the forecast error variance of each variable is attributable to shocks from every other variable in the system. It is widely used by econometricians, macroeconomists, and financial researchers to assess the relative importance of different structural disturbances in driving short-run and long-run fluctuations across interconnected economic series.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: FEVD · VAR Model. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare