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Kaedah Kawalan Sintetik Dinamik×Penilaian Impak Kaunterfaktual (CIE)×
BidangInferens KausalInferens Kausal
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal20101970s–2000s
PengasasAbadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010); dynamic extensions by Abadie (2021) and othersHeckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literature
JenisComparative case study / counterfactual estimationCausal inference / program evaluation
Sumber perintisAbadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗Heckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874. DOI ↗
AliasDynamic SCM, Time-varying synthetic control, Multi-period synthetic control, DSCCIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation
Berkaitan55
RingkasanThe Dynamic Synthetic Control Method extends the classic synthetic control framework to evaluate treatments that unfold over multiple periods or change in intensity over time. It constructs a weighted combination of untreated units that matches the treated unit in pre-treatment outcomes, then traces the full time path of treatment effects period by period after the intervention — capturing not just an average effect but how the effect evolves dynamically.Counterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Dynamic Synthetic Control Method · Counterfactual Impact Evaluation. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare