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Projeksi Komponen Kohort×Model Sinaran bagi Mobiliti dan Migrasi×
BidangDemografiAnalisis Reruang
KeluargaProcess / pipelineRegression model
Tahun asal20012012
PengasasPreston, Heuveline & GuillotFilippo Simini et al.
JenisDemographic projection pipelineParameter-free spatial interaction model
Sumber perintisPreston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 978-1-557-86451-2Simini, F., González, M. C., Maritan, A., & Barabási, A.-L. (2012). A universal model for mobility and migration patterns. Nature, 484, 96–100. DOI ↗
AliasCohort-Component Method, Component Method of Population Projection, Age-Sex-Specific Population Projection, Kohort-Bileşen ProjeksiyonuRadiation Law of Human Mobility, Parameter-free Mobility Model, Simini Radiation Model, Radyasyon Modeli
Berkaitan33
RingkasanCohort-Component Projection is the standard demographic method for forecasting future population size and age-sex structure by explicitly tracking births, deaths, and migration for each age-sex cohort across discrete time steps. Systematically formalized in the textbook literature by Preston, Heuveline, and Guillot (2001), the method builds on foundational actuarial and demographic work dating to the early twentieth century and remains the workhorse technique used by national statistical offices and international organizations worldwide.The Radiation Model, introduced by Simini et al. in 2012, is a parameter-free model for predicting human mobility and migration flows between geographic locations. Drawing an analogy from radiation physics, it predicts trip volumes based solely on population sizes at origin and destination, and the intervening population within the circle connecting them. It has been widely applied to commuting flows, migration, and epidemic spreading.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Cohort-Component Projection · Radiation Model. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare