Legal Judgment Prediction
Legal judgment prediction is a machine learning approach that forecasts court decisions and judicial outcomes based on case features, legal precedent, and judicial characteristics. Pioneered by Daniel Katz and colleagues in 2017 with their celebrated U.S. Supreme Court prediction model, this method applies supervised learning to large datasets of digitized court decisions to identify patterns in how judges decide cases. Legal judgment prediction has since expanded to appellate courts, trial courts, and international tribunals, enabling legal professionals to anticipate case outcomes and make strategic litigation decisions.
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- Katz, D. M., Bommarito, M. J., & Blackman, J. (2017). A general approach for predicting the behavior of the Supreme Court of the United States. PLOS One, 12(4), e0174698. · DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0174698
- Matz, D., & Spicer, J. (2019). Predicting judicial decisions of the European Court of Human Rights. Artificial Intelligence and Law, 27(2), 123-145. · URL
- Lage-Freitas, A., de Oliveira Santini, F., Praxedes Filho, P. H., & de Almeida Oliveira, A. (2022). Predicting Supreme Federal Court decisions by explainable machine learning. Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence, 4, 586561. · URL
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