Image of the Future Analysis
Image of the future analysis, developed by the Dutch sociologist Fred Polak, studies the collective images a society holds of its own future and argues that these images exert a powerful pull on present action and so help shape the future they imagine. In his monumental work The Image of the Future, abridged and translated by Elise Boulding, Polak surveyed the rise and fall of civilizations and contended that cultures flourish when they hold compelling, positive images of a future worth striving for, and decline when those images fade or turn dark. The method analyzes future-images along two dimensions: their essence — whether the imagined future is good or bad, optimistic or pessimistic — and the degree of human influence they assume — whether people can shape that future or are merely subject to it. By reading a society's art, literature, ideology, and discourse for its prevailing future-images, the analyst diagnoses the cultural energy available to propel the society forward.
出典記録
引用は手法の出典記録からそのままコピーされています。それらからレベルごとの検証は推論されません。
キュレーションされた主張
主張は証拠台帳に永続化され、それぞれが独自の評価を持っています。
このビューは、台帳に主張評価がない場合、主張評価を生成しません。
関連手法
手法グラフから生成され、機械が提案した関係として表示されます — 証拠主張は推論されません。