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Evaluasi Dampak Kontrafaktual Spasial (SCIE)×Metode Kontrol Sintetis (SCM)×
BidangInferensi KausalInferensi Kausal
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal2010s2003–2010
PencetusCerqua, Pellegrini, and regional-science scholars building on counterfactual econometricsAlberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal (2003); Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010)
TipeQuasi-experimental / causal inferenceQuasi-experimental causal inference
Sumber perintisCerqua, A., & Pellegrini, G. (2014). Do subsidies to private capital boost firms' growth? A multiple regression discontinuity design approach. Journal of Public Economics, 109, 114-126. DOI ↗Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗
AliasSCIE, spatial CIE, place-based counterfactual evaluation, regional counterfactual analysisSCM, synthetic control, synth estimator, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method
Terkait54
RingkasanSpatial Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (SCIE) is a family of quasi-experimental methods that estimate the causal effect of geographically targeted policies — such as EU Cohesion Funds, enterprise zones, or place-based subsidies — by constructing a spatial counterfactual: what outcomes the treated region would have experienced without the intervention, inferred from comparable untreated regions or from discontinuities at policy boundaries.The Synthetic Control Method estimates the causal effect of a treatment or policy on a single treated unit by constructing a weighted combination of untreated units — the synthetic control — that closely resembles the treated unit before the intervention. The gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart after the intervention is the estimated treatment effect.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Spatial Counterfactual Impact Evaluation · Synthetic Control Method. Diakses 2026-06-18 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare