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Political Survival Analysis×State Autonomy Analysis×
BidangPolitical EconomyPolitical Economy
KeluargaSurvival analysisProcess / pipeline
Tahun asal20031984
PencetusBruce Bueno de Mesquita et al.; Janet Box-Steffensmeier & Bradford JonesTheda Skocpol, Peter Evans, Dietrich Rueschemeyer & Michael Mann
TipeSurvival / event-history regression modelState-centered analytical framework
Sumber perintisBueno de Mesquita, B., Smith, A., Siverson, R. M., & Morrow, J. D. (2003). The Logic of Political Survival. MIT Press. ISBN: 9780262025461Evans, P. B., Rueschemeyer, D., & Skocpol, T. (Eds.). (1985). Bringing the State Back In. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 9780521313131
AliasLeader Survival Analysis, Government Duration Analysis, Selectorate Survival Model, Political Event-History AnalysisState-Centered Analysis, Relative Autonomy Analysis, Infrastructural Power Analysis, Bringing the State Back In Approach
Terkait33
RingkasanPolitical survival analysis applies survival and event-history models to the time leaders, governments, and regimes remain in power before failing. Methodologically it rests on the hazard-modeling apparatus codified for social scientists by Box-Steffensmeier and Jones in 2004 — the Cox proportional-hazards model and parametric alternatives such as the Weibull, estimated on duration data with censoring. Substantively it is anchored in the selectorate theory of Bueno de Mesquita, Smith, Siverson, and Morrow's 2003 The Logic of Political Survival, which explains the hazard of losing office in terms of the size of the winning coalition (W) and the selectorate (S). The model links institutional structure and performance to the risk that an incumbent's tenure ends.State autonomy analysis treats the state not as a neutral arena or a simple instrument of the dominant class but as an organization with interests, capacities, and powers of its own. Crystallized in the 1985 volume Bringing the State Back In edited by Evans, Rueschemeyer, and Skocpol, and given a sharp conceptual edge by Michael Mann's 1984 distinction between despotic and infrastructural power, the framework asks two linked questions: how far can a state formulate goals independent of the preferences of dominant social classes (autonomy), and how effectively can it actually implement those goals across its territory (capacity)? The approach reoriented comparative political economy away from purely society-centered explanations.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Political Survival Analysis · State Autonomy Analysis. Diakses 2026-06-25 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare