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| Analisis Dampak Kausal Data Panel× | Metode Kontrol Sintetis (SCM)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Bidang | Inferensi Kausal | Inferensi Kausal |
| Keluarga | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tahun asal≠ | 2015 (base method); panel extension mid-2010s | 2003–2010 |
| Pencetus≠ | Brodersen et al. (2015); panel extension by Holtz et al. and subsequent literature | Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal (2003); Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010) |
| Tipe≠ | Bayesian structural time-series causal inference | Quasi-experimental causal inference |
| Sumber perintis≠ | Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗ | Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | Panel CausalImpact, multi-unit causal impact, panel BSTS causal inference, panel structural time-series causal analysis | SCM, synthetic control, synth estimator, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method |
| Terkait≠ | 6 | 4 |
| Ringkasan≠ | Panel data causal impact analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series approach of Brodersen et al. (2015) to multi-unit panel settings, estimating the counterfactual for several treated units simultaneously using control units as a donor pool. It produces credible intervals for the causal effect at each post-intervention time point, aggregated across units and periods. | The Synthetic Control Method estimates the causal effect of a treatment or policy on a single treated unit by constructing a weighted combination of untreated units — the synthetic control — that closely resembles the treated unit before the intervention. The gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart after the intervention is the estimated treatment effect. |
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