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Analisis Dampak Kausal Data Panel×Metode Kontrol Sintetis (SCM)×
BidangInferensi KausalInferensi Kausal
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal2015 (base method); panel extension mid-2010s2003–2010
PencetusBrodersen et al. (2015); panel extension by Holtz et al. and subsequent literatureAlberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal (2003); Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010)
TipeBayesian structural time-series causal inferenceQuasi-experimental causal inference
Sumber perintisBrodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗
AliasPanel CausalImpact, multi-unit causal impact, panel BSTS causal inference, panel structural time-series causal analysisSCM, synthetic control, synth estimator, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method
Terkait64
RingkasanPanel data causal impact analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series approach of Brodersen et al. (2015) to multi-unit panel settings, estimating the counterfactual for several treated units simultaneously using control units as a donor pool. It produces credible intervals for the causal effect at each post-intervention time point, aggregated across units and periods.The Synthetic Control Method estimates the causal effect of a treatment or policy on a single treated unit by constructing a weighted combination of untreated units — the synthetic control — that closely resembles the treated unit before the intervention. The gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart after the intervention is the estimated treatment effect.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Panel Data Causal Impact Analysis · Synthetic Control Method. Diakses 2026-06-17 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare