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Lifespan Inequality×Model Lee-Carter×
BidangDemografiDemografi
KeluargaProcess / pipelineRegression model
Tahun asal20031992
PencetusLifespan-variation literature; life disparity formalized by Vaupel & Canudas-RomoRonald Lee & Lawrence Carter
TipeMeasures of variability in the age-at-death distributionStochastic mortality forecasting model
Sumber perintisVaupel, J. W., & Canudas-Romo, V. (2003). Decomposing change in life expectancy: A bouquet of formulas in honor of Nathan Keyfitz's 90th birthday. Demography, 40(2), 201–216. DOI ↗Lee, R. D., & Carter, L. R. (1992). Modeling and forecasting U.S. mortality. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87(419), 659–671. DOI ↗
AliasLifespan Variation, Life Disparity, Variation in Age at DeathLC Model, Lee-Carter Mortality Model, Singular Value Decomposition Mortality Model, Lee-Carter Ölümlülük Modeli
Terkait42
RingkasanLifespan inequality measures how unequally length of life is distributed within a population — the spread of the life-table ages at death, not just their average. Two populations can share the same life expectancy yet differ sharply in how predictable death is: in one nearly everyone reaches old age, in the other deaths are scattered across all ages. A family of measures — life disparity (e†), the standard deviation of age at death, the life-table Gini coefficient, and Keyfitz entropy — quantifies this dispersion, complementing life expectancy with a measure of how fairly survival is shared.The Lee-Carter model is a stochastic framework for modeling and forecasting age-specific mortality rates, introduced by Ronald Lee and Lawrence Carter in their landmark 1992 paper. It decomposes the logarithm of age-specific death rates into an age pattern of mortality, a time-varying index of mortality level, and an age-specific sensitivity of that index, then forecasts the time index using ARIMA time-series methods to generate probabilistic mortality projections.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Lifespan Inequality · Lee-Carter Model. Diakses 2026-06-25 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare