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| Model Kompartemen Endemik (SIS, SIRS, SIRV)× | Angka Reproduksi Dasar (R0 dan Rt)× | Model Kompartemen Epidemi SIR× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bidang | Epidemiologi | Epidemiologi | Epidemiologi |
| Keluarga | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tahun asal≠ | 2000 | 1990 | 1927 |
| Pencetus≠ | Herbert Hethcote | Diekmann, Heesterbeek & Metz | Kermack & McKendrick |
| Tipe≠ | Compartmental ODE model | Threshold parameter for epidemic spread | Deterministic compartmental ODE model |
| Sumber perintis≠ | Hethcote, H. W. (2000). The mathematics of infectious diseases. SIAM Review, 42(4), 599–653. DOI ↗ | Diekmann, O., Heesterbeek, J. A. P., & Metz, J. A. J. (1990). On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 28(4), 365–382. link ↗ | Kermack, W. O., & McKendrick, A. G. (1927). A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics. Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 115(772), 700–721. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | SIS Model, SIRS Model, SIRV Model, Endemic Disease Models | Basic Reproduction Ratio, Effective Reproduction Number, Net Reproduction Number, Temel Üreme Sayısı | Kermack–McKendrick Model, Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered Model, Compartmental Epidemic Model, SIR Epidemiyoloji Modeli |
| Terkait≠ | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Ringkasan≠ | Endemic compartmental models extend the classical SIR framework to capture diseases that persist indefinitely in a population rather than burning out after a single epidemic wave. The SIS model allows recovered individuals to return to susceptibility immediately; SIRS introduces temporary immunity before loss; SIRV adds a vaccinated compartment. Together these models are foundational tools for studying diseases such as influenza, gonorrhea, and seasonal pathogens where reinfection or waning immunity is epidemiologically central. | The basic reproduction number R0 is the expected number of secondary infections produced by a single infectious individual introduced into a fully susceptible population. Formally defined and computationally grounded by Diekmann, Heesterbeek, and Metz in 1990 using the next-generation matrix approach, R0 serves as the central threshold parameter in mathematical epidemiology: if R0 > 1, an epidemic can establish itself; if R0 < 1, the outbreak dies out. The effective reproduction number Rt extends this to partially immune or partially susceptible populations over time. | The SIR model is a foundational mathematical framework for describing the spread of infectious diseases through a population. Introduced by William Ogilvy Kermack and Anderson Gray McKendrick in 1927, it partitions a closed population of size N into three mutually exclusive compartments: Susceptible (S), Infectious (I), and Recovered (R). A system of ordinary differential equations governs the flow of individuals between compartments, capturing epidemic dynamics with two key parameters — the transmission rate β and the recovery rate γ. |
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