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Identifikasi Kausal dengan Graf Berarah Asiklik (do-calculus)×Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)×Pemodelan Persamaan Struktural×
BidangInferensi KausalBayesianStatistika Penelitian
KeluargaRegression modelBayesian methodsProcess / pipeline
Tahun asal20091921
PencetusJudea PearlSewall Wright
TipeCausal identification frameworkPosterior sampling algorithmMethod
Sumber perintisPearl, J. (2009). Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521895606Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955Jöreskog, K. G., & Sörbom, D. (1973). LISREL: A general computer program for estimating a linear structural equation system. Research Bulletin 73-5. University of Stockholm. link ↗
Aliasdo-calculus, backdoor adjustment, Pearl causal identification, DAG ile Nedensel Tanımlama (do-calculus)markov chain monte carlo, MCMC sampling, MCMC (Markov Zinciri Monte Carlo)SEM, path analysis, latent variable modeling, causal modeling
Terkait533
RingkasanDAG causal identification is a framework, developed by Judea Pearl (2009), that encodes causal assumptions as a directed acyclic graph and uses the do-calculus rules to determine whether and how a causal effect can be identified from observational data. It systematically handles confounders, instrumental variables, and backdoor paths.Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a family of computational algorithms for sampling from complex probability distributions, most commonly the posterior distributions that arise in Bayesian inference. Rather than computing posteriors analytically — which is rarely possible for realistic models — MCMC constructs a Markov chain whose stationary distribution is the target posterior and draws dependent samples from it, enabling full probabilistic inference for virtually any model.Structural equation modeling (SEM) is a comprehensive statistical framework combining path analysis (Sewall Wright, 1921) and confirmatory factor analysis to test complex causal models linking observed and latent variables. Formalized by Jöreskog (1973) with LISREL software, SEM enables simultaneous estimation of measurement relationships (how variables measure latent constructs) and structural relationships (how constructs influence outcomes), making it powerful for theory testing in psychology, epidemiology, organizational research, and health sciences where complex mediation, moderation, and latent processes require integrated analysis.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: DAG Causal Identification · MCMC · Structural Equation Modeling. Diakses 2026-06-17 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare