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Teori Kredibilitas×Regresi Binomial Negatif×
BidangIlmu AktuariaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal19672011
PencetusHans BühlmannHilbe (textbook treatment); generalized linear model framework
TipeWeighted linear blend of individual and collective experienceGeneralized linear model for count data
Sumber perintisBühlmann, H. (1967). Experience rating and credibility. ASTIN Bulletin, 4(3), 199–207. DOI ↗Hilbe, J. M. (2011). Negative Binomial Regression (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
AliasBühlmann Credibility, Experience Rating, Linear Credibility Estimator, Güvenilirlik TeorisiNB regression, NB2 regression, negatif binom regresyonu
Terkait34
RingkasanCredibility Theory is an actuarial framework for estimating the pure premium of an individual risk by blending its own observed loss experience with the collective (portfolio) mean. Introduced by Hans Bühlmann in 1967, the method derives the optimal linear combination—the credibility-weighted premium—that minimises mean squared error. It extends classical experience rating to a rigorous statistical footing rooted in Bayesian and linear estimation principles.Negative Binomial Regression is a generalized linear model for count outcomes that extends Poisson regression to handle overdispersion, where the variance of the counts exceeds their mean. Developed in the GLM tradition and treated in depth by Hilbe (2011), it adds a dispersion parameter so that inference stays valid when Poisson would understate the spread of the data.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Credibility Theory · Negative Binomial Regression. Diakses 2026-06-18 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare