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Evaluasi Dampak Kontrafaktual (EDK)×Metode Kontrol Sintetis (SCM)×
BidangInferensi KausalInferensi Kausal
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1970s–2000s2003–2010
PencetusHeckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literatureAlberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal (2003); Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010)
TipeCausal inference / program evaluationQuasi-experimental causal inference
Sumber perintisHeckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874. DOI ↗Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗
AliasCIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluationSCM, synthetic control, synth estimator, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method
Terkait54
RingkasanCounterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice.The Synthetic Control Method estimates the causal effect of a treatment or policy on a single treated unit by constructing a weighted combination of untreated units — the synthetic control — that closely resembles the treated unit before the intervention. The gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart after the intervention is the estimated treatment effect.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Counterfactual Impact Evaluation · Synthetic Control Method. Diakses 2026-06-18 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare