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Model VAR Struktural Bayesian (B-SVAR)×Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR)×
BidangEkonometrikaEkonometrika
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1998–20051980
PencetusSims & Zha (1998); Uhlig (2005) for sign-restriction identificationSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
TipeStructural multivariate time-series modelMultivariate time series model
Sumber perintisSims, C. A., & Zha, T. (1998). Bayesian methods for dynamic multivariate models. International Economic Review, 39(4), 949–968. DOI ↗Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗
AliasBayesian SVAR, B-SVAR, Bayesian structural VAR, Bayesian identified VARSVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
Terkait65
RingkasanThe Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression model combines the structural identification of SVAR with Bayesian prior distributions over parameters. It estimates causal impulse responses between multiple time series while incorporating prior economic knowledge and producing full posterior uncertainty bands rather than point estimates alone.Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Bayesian SVAR model · Structural VAR. Diakses 2026-06-15 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare