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Desain Studi Peristiwa Bayesian×Perbedaan-dalam-Perbedaan Bayesian×
BidangInferensi KausalInferensi Kausal
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1990s–2010s2015-2023
PencetusDeveloped from classical event study methodology (Fama et al., 1969) with Bayesian extensions proposed through the 1990s–2010sLi & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series)
TipeQuasi-experimental / causal inferenceBayesian causal inference / panel regression
Sumber perintisSorescu, A., Warren, N. L., & Ertekin, L. (2017). Event study methodology in the marketing literature: An overview. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 45(2), 186-207. DOI ↗Li, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529. link ↗
AliasBayesian event study, Bayesian abnormal return estimation, Bayesian pre-post event analysis, BESBayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimator
Terkait55
RingkasanBayesian Event Study Design extends the classical event study framework by replacing frequentist significance testing with a full Bayesian inferential framework. It estimates how an event (policy change, announcement, shock) alters an outcome trajectory by learning a prior model from the estimation window and updating it with observed data, yielding posterior distributions over abnormal effects and cumulative causal impacts with full uncertainty quantification.Bayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: Bayesian Event Study Design · Bayesian Difference-in-Differences. Diakses 2026-06-15 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare