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Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×N-HiTS×PatchTST×
BidangEkonometrikaPembelajaran MendalamPembelajaran Mendalam
KeluargaRegression modelMachine learningMachine learning
Tahun asal201520232023
PencetusBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Challu, C. et al.Nie, Y. et al.
TipeUnivariate time-series modelDeep neural forecasting (hierarchical interpolation)Transformer for time series forecasting
Sumber perintisBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Challu, C. et al. (2023). NHITS: Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting. AAAI. DOI ↗Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR. link ↗
AliasBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliN-HiTS — Hiyerarşik İnterpolasyon Tahmini, NHITS, Neural Hierarchical InterpolationPatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformer
Terkait533
RingkasanARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).N-HiTS (Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting), introduced by Challu and colleagues in 2023, is a deep neural forecasting architecture that combines the hierarchical forecasts of multiple stacks operating at different sampling rates and merges them through interpolation. It extends N-BEATS to deliver markedly better accuracy on long forecast horizons.PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.
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ScholarGateBandingkan metode: ARIMA · N-HiTS · PatchTST. Diakses 2026-06-18 dari https://scholargate.app/id/compare