Futures Wheel
The futures wheel is a structured brainstorming method for thinking through the consequences of a change. Created by Jerome Glenn in 1972 and now a staple of the foresight toolkit, it writes a trend, event, or decision in the center of a page and radiates outward: spokes lead to the direct, first-order consequences; from each of those, further spokes lead to second-order consequences; and the ripple continues to third and higher orders. The visual web that results makes the cascading implications of a change tangible, surfaces indirect effects that linear thinking misses, and reveals where consequences reinforce or contradict one another. Simple enough to run on a whiteboard yet powerful enough to anchor serious foresight work, it organizes intuition about how change propagates.
पूरी विधि पढ़ें
यह खंड पढ़ने के लिए निःशुल्क खाते से साइन इन करें।
पद्धति मानचित्र
सम्बन्धित पद्धतियों का परिवेश — अन्वेषण हेतु किसी नोड का चयन करें।
स्रोत
- Glenn, J. C., & Gordon, T. J. (Eds.). (2009). Futures Research Methodology, Version 3.0. The Millennium Project. ISBN: 9780981894119
इस पृष्ठ का उद्धरण कैसे दें
ScholarGate. (2026, June 23). Futures Wheel (Structured Brainstorming of Higher-Order Consequences). ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/hi/futures-foresight-studies/futures-wheel
कौन-सी पद्धति?
इस पद्धति को उसकी निकटतम सजातीय पद्धतियों के साथ रखकर उन्हें साथ-साथ पढ़ें — पुस्तकालय पुस्तकें मेज़ पर रख देता है; चुनाव आपका है।
- Causal Layered AnalysisFutures Foresight Studies↔ तुलना करें
- Manoa Alternative Futures MethodFutures Foresight Studies↔ तुलना करें
- Three Horizons FrameworkFutures Foresight Studies↔ तुलना करें