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Technology Roadmapping×Foresight Scenario Method×
क्षेत्रScience Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
परिवारProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
उद्भव वर्ष20041995
प्रवर्तकRobert Phaal, Clare Farrukh, David Probert (Cambridge T-Plan); Motorola/Corning originsPaul Schoemaker, drawing on Herman Kahn and the Shell/intuitive-logics tradition
प्रकारTime-based strategic-planning processStructured future-construction process
मौलिक स्रोतPhaal, R., Farrukh, C. J. P., & Probert, D. R. (2004). Technology roadmapping—a planning framework for evolution and revolution. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71(1-2), 5-26. DOI ↗Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. link ↗
उपनामTechnology roadmaps, Strategic roadmapping, T-Plan roadmappingScenario planning, Intuitive-logics scenarios, Scenario building
संबंधित44
सारांशTechnology roadmapping is a strategic-planning technique that produces a time-based, multi-layered chart linking markets and business drivers, products and services, and the technologies and resources needed to deliver them. By laying these layers along a common timeline and drawing the links between them, a roadmap aligns research and development with strategy, answering where an organisation wants to go, how it will get there, and which technologies must mature and when.The scenario method constructs a small set of internally consistent, plausible stories about how the future might unfold, built from the key driving forces and critical uncertainties facing a decision. Rather than forecasting one expected future, it deliberately develops several contrasting futures so that strategies can be tested against a range of possibilities and decision-makers can rehearse responses to what might otherwise be surprises.
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