विधियों की तुलना करें
चुनी हुई विधियों की आमने-सामने समीक्षा करें; भिन्नता वाली पंक्तियाँ रेखांकित हैं।
| Technology Foresight× | Technology Delphi× | |
|---|---|---|
| क्षेत्र | Science Technology Studies | Science Technology Studies |
| परिवार | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| उद्भव वर्ष≠ | 1995 | 1975 |
| प्रवर्तक≠ | Ben R. Martin, Irene Miles, and the UK/Japanese foresight programmes | Helmer & Dalkey (RAND); national applications by NISTEP (Japan) and Cuhls (Germany) |
| प्रकार≠ | Participatory future-oriented strategic process | Iterative structured expert-survey process |
| मौलिक स्रोत≠ | Martin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 7(2), 139-168. DOI ↗ | Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley. ISBN: 9780201042948 |
| उपनाम | Foresight studies, Strategic technology forecasting, Future-oriented technology analysis | Technology Delphi survey, Foresight Delphi, National Delphi forecast |
| संबंधित | 4 | 4 |
| सारांश≠ | Technology foresight is a systematic, participatory process of looking into the longer-term future of science, technology, the economy, and society in order to identify the areas of strategic research and the emerging generic technologies likely to yield the greatest economic and social benefits. Rather than predicting a single future, it brings experts and stakeholders together to explore plausible futures, build shared visions, and translate them into present-day priorities and action. | The technology Delphi is a large-scale, multi-round expert survey used to forecast the timing, importance, and feasibility of future technological developments. Built on the classic Delphi principles of anonymity, iteration, controlled feedback, and statistical aggregation, it elicits judgements from hundreds or thousands of experts on a structured list of technology statements and converges them, round by round, into a collective forecast that informs national and organisational science and technology priorities. |
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