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Technology Foresight×Technology Delphi×
क्षेत्रScience Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
परिवारProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
उद्भव वर्ष19951975
प्रवर्तकBen R. Martin, Irene Miles, and the UK/Japanese foresight programmesHelmer & Dalkey (RAND); national applications by NISTEP (Japan) and Cuhls (Germany)
प्रकारParticipatory future-oriented strategic processIterative structured expert-survey process
मौलिक स्रोतMartin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 7(2), 139-168. DOI ↗Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley. ISBN: 9780201042948
उपनामForesight studies, Strategic technology forecasting, Future-oriented technology analysisTechnology Delphi survey, Foresight Delphi, National Delphi forecast
संबंधित44
सारांशTechnology foresight is a systematic, participatory process of looking into the longer-term future of science, technology, the economy, and society in order to identify the areas of strategic research and the emerging generic technologies likely to yield the greatest economic and social benefits. Rather than predicting a single future, it brings experts and stakeholders together to explore plausible futures, build shared visions, and translate them into present-day priorities and action.The technology Delphi is a large-scale, multi-round expert survey used to forecast the timing, importance, and feasibility of future technological developments. Built on the classic Delphi principles of anonymity, iteration, controlled feedback, and statistical aggregation, it elicits judgements from hundreds or thousands of experts on a structured list of technology statements and converges them, round by round, into a collective forecast that informs national and organisational science and technology priorities.
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