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नीति मूल्यांकन प्लेसबो परीक्षण×सिंथेटिक कंट्रोल मेथड (SCM)×
क्षेत्रकारणात्मक अनुमानकारणात्मक अनुमान
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष1990s–2000s2003–2010
प्रवर्तकBertrand, Duflo & Mullainathan (2004 canonical formalization); Imbens & Wooldridge (2009 textbook treatment)Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal (2003); Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010)
प्रकारFalsification / specification checkQuasi-experimental causal inference
मौलिक स्रोतImbens, G. W., & Wooldridge, J. M. (2009). Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation. Journal of Economic Literature, 47(1), 5-86. DOI ↗Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗
उपनामplacebo test, falsification test, fake treatment test, placebo regressionSCM, synthetic control, synth estimator, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method
संबंधित44
सारांशA policy evaluation placebo test is a falsification check used in quasi-experimental research to validate a causal identification strategy. The researcher applies the same estimation method to a pseudo-treatment — a time period, group, or outcome where the real policy could not have had an effect — and checks that no spurious effect is detected. A null placebo result builds confidence that the main estimate reflects a genuine causal impact rather than bias or confounding.The Synthetic Control Method estimates the causal effect of a treatment or policy on a single treated unit by constructing a weighted combination of untreated units — the synthetic control — that closely resembles the treated unit before the intervention. The gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart after the intervention is the estimated treatment effect.
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